What is the decision assurance lab?

The Decision Assurance Lab runs 12 month simulation sprint to show how your choices play out across people, systems and economic forces. You get a clear view of risk and trade offs before you commit.

Optional deep dive for high stakes decisions

What the Decision Assurance Lab focuses on

The Decision Assurance Simulation Sprint is a short, optional add-on to your Ministry of Insights work. It takes outputs from Civic, Insight, Engage and Change Labs, then runs deeper simulations to test how your choices are likely to play out over a 12 month period across communities, teams, processes and capacity, taking into account trends and micro and macro economic forces. You do not get another tool to manage. You get a sharper view of risk, trade offs and consequences before you commit.

Decision assurance lab ministry of insights nz
Decision assurance lab ministry of insights new zealand
Ministry of insights decision assurance lab ai simulation nz

When to use it

Use a Decision Assurance Simulation Sprint when:
- The decision has real consequences for people, services or reputation
- Leaders or the board want stronger assurance before approving a path
- Signals from the Labs are mixed and you want more clarity
- Multiple initiatives collide in the same teams and you need to understand combined impact
- You want to avoid discovering second order impacts after the change is already in motion
- If the downside of being wrong is significant, this sprint helps you look again before you jump.

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Over a focused sprint we:

1. Frame the decision question

Clarify the specific decision or set of options to test, and agree success and risk criteria.

2. Build targeted scenarios

Use the existing Lab outputs to create realistic internal and civic scenarios. These cover capacity, workload, dependencies, change load and human response across key groups.

3. Run simulations and interpret results

Run internal simulations on your options, then interpret the results with you. We focus on practical implications, not technical detail.

What you receive

At the end of the sprint you receive a concise Decision Assurance Pack that includes:

  • A clear summary of the decision question and options tested

  • Scenario snapshots that show how each option plays out internally and civically

  • Identified hot spots
    • overload risks

    • bottlenecks

    • change saturation points

    • quality and risk pressure points

  • A comparison of options against agreed criteria

  • Recommended path forward and suggested safeguards or phasing

  • An audit trail of key assumptions that can be shared with governance groups

You can attach this pack to board papers, investment cases or internal approvals as supporting evidence.

How it fits with the other Labs

The sprint does not replace the Labs. It builds on them.

  • Civic Lab helps you test policies and strategies on a realistic civic model

  • Insight Lab gives you the current internal reality

  • Engage Lab brings people into the design and surfaces risks

  • Change Lab defines viable options and change paths

  • The Decision Assurance Simulation Sprint uses those inputs to stress test the most important choices before final commitment

  • Consult Lab then turns the agreed direction into detailed delivery and governance

This keeps your core engagement simple, while giving you access to a deeper level of assurance when it is genuinely needed.

Typical shape of engagement
  • Duration: 1 to 3 weeks, depending on complexity
  • Format: a small number of focused working sessions with your core leadership or project team
  • Outputs: one Decision Assurance Pack, ready to attach to decision papers or use in executive discussions

 

You stay in control of the decision. The sprint gives you a clearer view of what each path is likely to mean inside your organisation and community.

Decision Assurance Lab FAQs

Do we always need a Decision Assurance Simulation Sprint

No. It is an optional deep dive for high stakes or high uncertainty decisions. Many engagements complete successfully without it.

Typically one to three weeks, depending on complexity, with a small number of focused sessions.

Major restructures, high profile service changes, significant AI and automation programs, and large cross cutting portfolios of work.

Yes. You can run a sprint to review how a decision is playing out and test adjustments or next phases.

No. Any organisation facing high consequence change can use it.

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